Published on June 3, 2025

2025 Tour de France: Top Contenders and Key Storylines

Written by
Alex Filitti
Andy Wright
Josh Burton
Esther
Ivan Corda
Maisie Ogier
Silke Lehrmann
Theo Lothode
Tim Alvado-Brette
Lysanne Wilkens

The 2025 Tour de France, commencing on July 5 in Lille and concluding on July 27 in Paris, promises an exhilarating contest among cycling’s elite. With five summit finishes, two time trials, and iconic climbs like Mont Ventoux and Col de la Loze, this edition is tailored for climbers and all-rounders.

2025 Tour de France: Leading Favorites for the Yellow Jersey

Tadej Pogačar (UAE Team Emirates)

The Slovenian prodigy enters as the defending champion, aiming for his fourth Tour victory. His 2024 season was stellar, clinching the Giro d’Italia, Tour de France, and World Championships. In 2025, Pogačar has focused on the spring classics and altitude training, setting his sights on the Tour and a potential Vuelta-Tour double.

Jonas Vingegaard (Visma-Lease a Bike)

A two-time Tour winner (2022, 2023), Vingegaard seeks redemption after finishing second to Pogačar in 2024. Despite a wrist injury in Paris-Nice earlier this year, he showcased resilience by winning the Volta ao Algarve. His climbing prowess makes him a formidable contender, especially on stages like Hautacam and Col de la Loze.

Remco Evenepoel (Soudal-QuickStep)

The Belgian sensation, third in the 2024 Tour, is on a comeback trail after off-season injuries. Victories in the Brabantse Pijl and a strong showing in the Tour de Romandie indicate his return to form. Evenepoel’s time-trialing skills could be decisive, particularly in the 33 km ITT in Caen.

Primož Roglič (Red Bull-Bora-Hansgrohe)

With four Vuelta titles and a Giro win, Roglič is a seasoned Grand Tour competitor. After a crash in the Tour of the Basque Country, he has prioritized recovery to peak for the Tour. His experience and climbing abilities make him a dark horse for the yellow jersey.

Rising Stars and Potential Surprises

Matteo Jorgenson (Visma-Lease a Bike)

The American rider defended his Paris-Nice title in 2025, demonstrating consistency and tactical acumen. As a strong all-rounder, Jorgenson could be a key support for Vingegaard or emerge as a contender himself.

Simon Yates (Team Jayco-AlUla)

Yates’s remarkable victory in the 2025 Giro d’Italia, achieved with a dramatic solo attack on the penultimate stage, marks a significant comeback. His climbing skills and experience could see him challenge for stage wins or a high GC placement.

João Almeida (UAE Team Emirates)

Almeida’s consistent performances, including a strong showing in the Tour de Romandie, position him as a valuable asset for Pogačar’s team and a potential GC threat.

Key Stages to Watch

Stage 5 (July 9): A 33 km individual time trial in Caen, favoring strong time-trialists like Evenepoel.

Stage 10 (July 14): A challenging mountain stage to Mont-Dore, coinciding with Bastille Day, likely to shake up the GC standings

Stage 12 (July 17): A summit finish at Hautacam, a climb where Vingegaard has previously excelled.

Stage 13 (July 18): An 11 km mountain time trial to Peyragudes, offering a unique test of climbing and pacing.

Stage 16 (July 22): The return of Mont Ventoux, a legendary ascent that could be pivotal in the GC battle.

Stage 18 (July 24): A grueling finish at Col de la Loze, one of the highest points in the Alps.

AUTHORS
Alex Filitti

30 years old

Marathon

2:49:25
Andy Wright
46 years old

Marathon

2:44:06

Josh Burton
21 years old

10km

31:20

Esther
43 years old
Ivan Corda
48 years old

Marathon

31:20

Lysanne Wilkens
48 years old

10km

33:48

Silke Lehrmann
50 years old

Marathon

4:04

Maisie Ogier
33 years old

Marathon

3:30:13

Theo Lothode
30 years old

Marathon

2:34

Tim Alvado-Brette
30 years old
Marathon
2:34

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